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November 11, 2022
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"And, yes, Trump will play right into the trap, or Trump is the trap. Do with that what you will."

I think this statement will age well and we'd be wise to do sensible things with this foreknowledge.

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"Have a splendid winter weekend. At least in Montana, Mother Nature decided quite definitively that fall was over and dumped nearly a foot of snow on us to drive the point home."

Remnants of Diet Hurricane Nicole are passing over Maryland right now, raining since before sunup but probably still mid-60s right now. But they're calling for a cold snap following behind the storm for the weekend. Inside chores, I guess.

And a fine weekend to you and yours, Lil.

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Praise the Lord and pass me another John Wick movie.

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November 11, 2022
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Even my wife loves the John Wick movies, and she usually not a big fan of action/shooting movies.

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November 11, 2022
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She's a saint. Just celebrated our 30th anniversary. 35 years together, total. We have enough differences to make it interesting.

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Kanye and Trump are both broken clocks - they’re right twice a day and I’m not going to rely on either of them.

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Well, they're predictably chaotic at least.

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So maybe the moral is to be cautious about embracing the whole person because they agree with a few things but are raving whack-a-doodles in a few key other areas.

We should embrace ideas. Abraham Accords = SUPER SWELL. Getting People Working (ie: stimulating the economy) = YUMMY! But maybe the lashing out on Twitter, the burn-and-salt on even people you should at least support ideologically? Some people just aren't going to dig it.

It occurs to me that this is some form of Intersectionality Seeking? Ye said something smart. And he likes Trump and vice-versa. Throw in a few Modus Ponens = We should Embrace Kanye and DJT. But intersectionality pretty much always fails when you get down to the details.

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Or perhaps transactional alignment. I’m with you when I’m with you. I love bacon, ham and pork chops - chitterlings, hog maws and souse, not so much.

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How about snoot sandwiches? Headcheese?

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Souse = head cheese. I watched my grandmother make that once. I will NEVER eat it. I applaud the ancestors that decided that making something out of hog brains was the last thing between them and hunger but I can’t do it.

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Where I come from headcheese and souse are considered different. Perhaps it due to local division between the early settlers -- hillbillies in the late 1700s and Germans in the 1850s. Baptists and Catholics. The hillbillies make headcheese and the Germans use a different recipe and make souse.

My grandmother was a "hard rock Baptist" and hated alcohol. But she put brandy or bourbon in her mincemeat and headcheese. She put very little, if any, vinegar in it. The German cooks put quite a lot of vinegar in and somewhat different spices.

I used to help Grandma make both mincemeat and headcheese. Headcheese is probably an acquired taste. But some dark bread, hot mustard, and headcheese is a great sandwich.

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November 11, 2022
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Interesting…. I’m guessing from your description that souse is kind of loose brains whereas head cheese is the steamed, congealed sliceable version. I grew up in Georgia. My mother’s parents were pretty serious Baptists (my grandad kept a pint of peach brandy for medicinal purposes). I don’t think she put any alcohol in her souse. I’ll be honest, after I saw my grandad saw the hog head open and my grandmother scoop out the brains, that’s about as much of the process as I watched.

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Oh, and souse was frequently fried and then mixed in scrambled eggs.

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"I love bacon, ham and pork chops" Nom nom nom.

*heads for bunk*

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I'm kind of assuming, after watching him for the past 4 years plus. that DeSantis will essentially ignore Trump and shrug off the personal attacks. That alone will make Trump even crazier, if that's possible.

And DeSantis is beginning to look like the only 'adult' in either party's possible presidential nominees. I truly don't know if that helps him or not.

It's really sad that Trump can't take his one Yuuuuge win in 2016 and his successful policies and embrace him rather than trashing everyone that doesn't kiss his . . . ring.

And Pushaw must be doing a lot of good, given that they're going after her almost as much as they're going after Trump. She's a real asset.

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November 11, 2022
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In the political science world, a realignment occurs when the makeup of a party changes, and changes expectations of future party dominance. So, Andrew Jackson's win with the "common man and 'western' orientation changed the the Dem party so that most future elections saw Congress dominated by Jacksonian Democrats. The change was from more upper-class Jeffersonian Democrats who had dominated from Jefferson's defeat of Adams in 1800, and the Era of Good Feeling. Jackson's win changed that.

The the rise of the anti-slavery Republican (and the dissolution/falling apart of the Whig Party) re-aligned the two parties along the lines of the Civil War and led to GOP (Grand Old Party, don't forget) centered around Civil War veterans and the push further West. (Lincoln was reviled by the MSM of the day for being an uncouth Westerner.)

The Republican dominance was then re-aligned as the GOP became the party of the industrialization movers and shakers as the Dems became the party of farmers and labor [viz even today in the Minnesota Democratic Farm Labor Party]) and the realignment was cemented by Bryan's first loss. That carried over until it was replaced by Roosevelt's New Deal coalition.

You may notice that these happened around every 32-36 years, or one generation of voters.

So, we expected a "realigning election of some short around 1964-68. It almost happened. Kennedy's assassination and the Vietnam War seemed poised to change the Dem Party to the party of "Amnesty, Acid, and Abortion" and the GOP as the Law and Order Party. Watergate seemed to have aborted a potential realignment.

So the FDR Coalition continued right through any Reagan Revolution until the 1994 election, but neither party really altered their base coalition. But they both continued to 'evolve' but the 'system' itself had become way more bureaucratic. So we get Obama instead of Hillary (think of him trying to build a new coalition, but instead losing over 1000 state elected seats).

In reaction to that, the Tea Party crashed Obama's 'dream' and Trump dashed Hillary's. But neither party was changing their base coalition.

Now, Biden may *think* he is Building Back FDR's coalition Better, but that is not apparent. Instead the Dems are becoming the party of elite "service provider" and it looks like the GOP is becoming the mass "product supplier" party. Think of it as the "process party" and the "product party".

If the Dems don't manage to lock up their Socialist ideas and voting mechanisms, I expect that the GOP will become a new coalition of those who do things while the Dems becomes the party of those who say things. For the Dems to remain the dominant party they need to reduce any many "doers" to welfare recipients as possible. Thus, student loan forgiveness for "thinkers/sayers" who produce little to nothing concrete or substantial. It's a form of welfare for the non-productive.

I think we're on the cusp now, finally.

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Love the analysis here. Have anything I could read that would supplement this thought? I would really like to dive into it more.

Thanks for this post, bruh!

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Check your local library (or a college library) for a college text on American government. Anything written/published before 2000 will have a lengthy section on realignments. I'll check to see if I still have anything. Look for Janda, Barry, et al. I used their text more than any other. I switched every couple of years to stay 'fresh'. Look on Amazon for Kenneth Janda "Challenge of American Democracy" and get on older version (7 or so would be good) cheap on Kindle.

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Trump's behavior is tragic, really.

I will always be grateful Trump denied Hillary! the 2016 election, gave us judges, moved the Republican Party in a better direction, and exposed the media as the branch of the Democratic Party it is.

But I'm done with him, now. He has my thanks. And I'm moving on with no regrets. but I am moving on.

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American Lear. Desperate to be loved, goes mad when he isn't.

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"And Pushaw must be doing a lot of good, given that they're going after her almost as much as they're going after Trump."

Flack, Target.

She's a really savvy PR Rep. To be fair, DeSantis has tangible wins she can promote and the nay-sayers and detractors are properly unhinged - as is common in this day and age - to provide plenty of fodder for ridicule. But she really Makes the Chimichangas.

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Other than DeSantis, are there any other veterans on the "might run for President" on either side? Off the top of my head I can't think of any. Tulsi Gabbard I suppose *might* run in some party label. But I don't think she will.

Anyone want to list a few and tell me what they know? Non-vets include (as far as I can remember) Trump and Biden. Harris. Buddyplug. Warren. Bernie. Newsom. Pritzker. Polis? Haley.

I think Pompeo is a veteran.

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While I think both are better in the Senate than the White House, Rand Paul and Ted Cruz have both run pretty successful campaigns in 2016 and are maybe just that much more seasoned than then. I think I read Tom Cotton's already ruled it out.

They, at least, are not unreasonable candidates whatever your feelings about them.

Interesting you mention Jared Polis. I made the case yesterday that Governors, having had experience running a whole state, are better suited for the Executive Branch than Senators and Reps but that they'd lack foreign policy experience that Congresspeeps would have. Polis was a CO Rep before being Gov. So you get the same check box that Buttigieg has but with actual real experience running a big op and national/international stategery chops.

I guess I'm surprised he doesn't attention than Mr. Racist Parking Lots.

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And Pompeo is definitely a veteran but probably more experience with Nation Policy than Running the Day-to-Day. Still, a reasonable candidate.

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If I thought he had a chance I could go for Pompeo. But he's barely a second-tier candidate I think. Of course, Presidential primaries are tricky to put betting odds on.

He'd be a solid VP choice though.

Especially compared to the Dems the GOP has a lot of decent choices for either slot.

I'm kind of looking forward to a Dem circular firing squad. The MSM will try to hang that phrase on the GOP, but it will only be Trump vs everybody while the Dems will be everybody againnst everybody else. Like a bucket of crabs.

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Oh, sweet merciful jeebus you said Pritzker. There is no one who has driven the trans-insanity more than that family. They are the ones bankrolling it, and governor Pritzker might be my most hated politician because of it.

Plus, he’s a fat toad. Ducks don’t like fat toads.

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He's a huge, steaming pile, for sure. Did you know he had a very expensive 'house' in Chicago that had no toilets because that way he paid very little property tax on it. I mean, like a multi-million house. As long as it had no toilet it was still "under construction" or some such.

The Dem 'bench' is a bit lean right now. No Senators from west of the Mississippi or south of the Ohio, mostly. Although either Warnock (if he wins) or that other GA idiot might give it a whirl. Who would be 'good' im the upper NE quadrant? Warren or Bernie? I think not. Any names besides Fetterman spring to mind?

How about governors? Newsom, obviously. Polis, maybe. Perhaps that woman in Kansas, whoever she is. I think WI and MN governors are just "right out". Bel Edwards in LA? Potential there, maybe. Stacy Abrams? LOL. Hochul? The new PA guy? The new MA gov?

So, how about the House? Those geriatric idiot Dem leaders have pretty much scotched all their potential, although I suppose AOC might try. That would be . . . interesting.

So, don't count billionaire self funding if need be Pritzker.

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As we move into this next political season, perhaps we can try to define the level of discourse that is acceptable. While I fully agree that scurrilous attacks from Leftists must be responded to with appropriate ire, we have got to quit turning our guns on our allies and even our fellow soldiers. Trump was able to rise so dominantly in the 2010 race because he had one response--he went nuclear at the first sign of hostility (or even preemptively.) This worked because the Left was shocked that Trump:

1) Disagreed with them.

2) Called them out.

3) Refused to tie one hand behind his back and hop on one foot.

People ate this up with a big spoon. The only things that they had heard from their elected representatives was, "Please, Sir, may I have another?" The problem came when Trump turned his only successful tactic on fellow Republicans.

I think we can see the Time of Trump ending, but not Trumpism. Let's keep the fighting spirit, but let us make sure that we don't bring those destructive elements of Trump into the new era.

Back in the Before Times, when we were facing a wilderness journey that would last *decades* our Great Chieftain, Reagan, declared his Great Rule: the 11th Commandment.

His famed 11th commandment dictated that Republicans, who were struggling to repair party rifts, needed to keep their dialogue and discourse with and about one another above board.

Generally, if you could agree with ~70% of my agenda, we cold co-operate and work together. We would be, not enemies, but competitors.

https://www.reagan.com/ronald-reagan-the-11th-commandment

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I told friends the other day “the media is going to resurrect Trump. Watch.” But, since I didn’t say it here (or on my Substack that, really, no one should read) did it actually happen? If some one tweets or writes a Substack post and doesn’t hit send, does it drive engagement or clicks? No.

I’m over Trump. I’m done. And every Duck I know that used to semi like him, feels that same way. He’s an albatross around the neck. I think the ones driving trucks with trump flags will be the last ones to recognize his toxic nature. But they got two years to figure that out.

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Interesting how--to attack DeSantis--they've quickly moved Trump(previously the most Hitlerian Hitler in the Known Universe) into the "Previous Republican President Wasn't Hitler Unlike the Current One" category, before there is even a current Republican president.

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Trump was an awesome president, but has turned into an awful ex-president. Sad, and not in an ironic way.

Nice that the censor is leaving Twitter. Um, do we know who these "intelligence officials," spreading rumors for partisan benefit on the government dime, are?

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For sure, anyone being attacked by Trump should just give The Dude answer of, "well that's just his opinion" and move on. No need to engage or dignify every mention of one's own name with a response.

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Trump is fearless and cocky. Makes him dangerous. Loved it when he brought a baseball bat to the football field and all the refs pretended they cared about the rules they had been breaking for decades.

DeSantis is bold because Trump showed him how.

The game is still rigged and the Refs are still lying but it’s all out in the open now like professional wrestling.

I prefer decorum but it ain’t worth a sh** in a knife fight.

I don’t believe politicians like DeSantis will survive the pressure yet but I’m game for either.

Play Ball!!

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Apparently Germans do not call Kristallnacht "Kristallnacht," because the word is too pretty-sounding to German ears. They have taken to calling it "Reichskristallnacht" or "Reichspogromnacht" to make the connection to the shame of Naziism and the horror of the events perfectly clear.

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Trump always attacks the person who looks like the biggest threat to his ambitions.

Let's hope DeSantis doesn't fall into the same trap Marco Rubio did and try to meet Trump's insults with insults. He should praise Trump's record of accomplishment as President and compliment him on his commitment to helping other Republicans win elections - he doesn't need to say the part about Trump standing aside in 2024 out loud. Praising Trump for being a kingmaker and "the real power in the Republican party" just might make Trump comfortable with that role (rather than the Presidency).

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Hey, Jim, could you answer I posted yesterday about getting a partial refund?

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"I'll have the chocolate covered burrito stuffed with refried butter..."

"...And a diet coke"

-Ana Navarro

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